Stracke, you have Larry Johnson at #3, there is no way he puts up #3 numbers. Consider the following:

He carried the rock an obscene amount of times last year, there's now way he does that again. Less carries means less yards and TD chances.

Will Shields retired this year. That monster Offensive Line continues to diminish, and that only hurts Johnson's stock.

Last year Larry caught 44 passes, which isn't enough to bump him up in PPR leagues, AND Michael Bennett is poised to be the every day, third down back this year to limit Johnson's wear and tear, which actually bumps him down.

Overall, I've got Larry as a late first rounder, although I sure as hell don't want the third pick in the draft and him still be there.